Project Lead: Thiago Gracia Duration: 01 Jan 2018 to 31 Dec 2023
Risk forecasting and risk mitigation measures are crucial approaches to improving resilience to changes in the regional climate. The project aims to build local capacity to improve resilience to regional climate variability and trends by using seasonal forecasting of climate phenomena to assess their impacts on water balance, biodiversity and agriculture, as well as impacts on climate migration patterns. The development and use of expertise on climate risks and their prediction will be embedded in the target countries. Recurrent phenomena such as monsoons, El Niño, and Indian Ocean Dipole, as well as climate change induced trends will be projected. These data are used in the agriculture, biodiversity and water sectors to understand the impacts on the population. This is needed to understand and anticipate migration patterns caused by climate phenomena.